Bitcoin Inflows Decline Sharply as Investors Hold Steady Amid $107K Surge

Bitcoin climbed to $107,007.62 on June 25, gaining 1.54%, even as inflows to Binance declined sharply. According to CryptoQuant, average monthly inflows have dropped to 5,700 BTC. This is less than half the historical average of 12,000 BTC. Also, almost three times lower than the levels seen when Bitcoin first reached $100,000. Notably, inflows surged to 24,000 BTC during the FTX collapse in 2022. BTC.com Mining Pool, a major contributor to Binance flows, has slowed its transfers. This suggests rising confidence among miners and investors. Bitcoin’s resilience above $100K, despite macro pressures and geopolitical tensions, shows a market leaning toward long-term holding.

Sharp Decline in Bitcoin Inflows Shows Investors Are Holding 

CryptoQuant’s data indicates that Bitcoin inflows to Binance have dropped to just 5,700 BTC monthly. This marks a significant deviation from the long-term average of 12,000 BTC. Such a drop hasn’t been seen since the last bear cycle. BTC.com Mining Pool, known for selling during rallies, has reduced its flows despite Bitcoin’s recent strength above $105,000. 

Source: CryptoQuant X Post on June 25, 2025

Historically, big spikes in inflows have coincided with local market tops. In contrast, the present data points to lower selling activity and a shift in investor sentiment. The sharp decline in Bitcoin inflows suggests that traders are not rushing to cash out. Instead, they appear to be holding on, expecting the trend to continue upward.

Institutional Buying Gathers Pace Despite Uncertainty 

On June 25, US spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $588.6 million, the highest single-day inflow this month. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust brought in $436.3 million, while Fidelity’s FBTC received $217.6 million. Smaller players like Bitwise and VanEck added capital, while Grayscale’s GBTC saw an $85.2 million outflow. Since June 10, ETF inflows have topped $2.2 billion across 11 consecutive days. This trend comes as MicroStrategy purchased 1,500 BTC in Q2 2025, betting against the wider market mood. Investors are moving into Bitcoin despite uncertain macro signals. These ETF inflows, paired with falling exchange activity, show institutional support is rising. The divergence between growing demand and reduced exchange inflows gives Bitcoin more upside potential.

Middle East Tensions Test, Then Reinforce Bitcoin’s Strength 

Bitcoin briefly fell 4% to $103,556 after geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran flared up earlier in June. Within days, the price rebounded past $106,800 following a ceasefire led by US President Trump. That quick recovery echoes past performance. During the pandemic in 2020, Bitcoin climbed 131% from its lows. When Terra collapsed in 2022, Bitcoin rallied faster than gold. The recent rebound suggests that markets continue to treat Bitcoin as a long-term asset, not a speculative one. As tensions ease, investors seem more willing to park funds in crypto. Bitcoin inflows have not risen despite recent volatility, a sign that panic selling has not returned.

Source: CryptoQuant X Post on June 25, 2025

BTC.com, which accounts for nearly 98% of all Bitcoin sent from miners to Binance, shows a distinct pattern. When prices rise, their flow increases, suggesting miners are booking profits. But when flows drop, it signals strong confidence, with miners choosing to hold instead of sell. Recently, despite Bitcoin trading above $100,000, BTC.com’s flow to Binance has fallen sharply. This suggests miners anticipate further gains and are holding back from selling. Their strategic behavior, selling at peaks and holding during bullish phases, offers a reliable lens into market sentiment. Monitoring their moves gives valuable insight into where Bitcoin might head next.

Price Range Narrows as Market Awaits Macro Triggers 

Bitcoin’s current $107k price crossed the resistance of $106k. However, due to geopolitical tensions, this isn’t considered to be the steady state. If it falls below $105k, there is a chance of slipping directly to $100k. The BTC shift depends on upcoming economic changes and the Federal Reserve’s approval of rate cuts. Until then, traders must keep their eyes on Bitcoin inflows, investor behaviour, and price changes.