Bitcoin Price Bottoming? $35 Billion BTC ETF Outflows Can’t Stop Crypto Rally

The Bitcoin price shows resilience despite persistent sell pressure from spot BTC ETFs. Bitcoin staged a sharp 12% recovery, reaching $83,200 from its recent monthly low. While the BTC market trends suggest caution due to escalating US-China trade wars and recession odds, the underlying crypto momentum remains intact. Institutional flows, future Bitcoin ETF performance, and technical market indicators are critical areas to watch as Bitcoin navigates through this volatile landscape.

Bitcoin ETF Outflows Hit $712M Weekly

Recent data highlights that BTC ETFs experienced substantial outflows this week. It is totaling a $712 million spike compared to $172 million the week before. This extends a trend, as Bitcoin ETF products have now recorded seven consecutive weeks of net outflows. This is now reflecting rising risk aversion across BTC market trends. Notably, the high surge occurred in February when Bitcoin funds hemorrhaged $2.48 billion, aligning with broader economic fears.

The worsening US-China relations further stoked market anxiety. China’s 125% retaliatory tariff against the US’s 145% hike created panic. This situation is causing global equities and crypto markets to wobble. Even with negative sentiment stopping BTC ETFs, the Bitcoin price demonstrated notable strength by reclaiming higher levels. Analysts note that the crypto fear and greed index’s dip into “fear” territory mirrors the cautious sentiment covering the BTC market trends.

BTC Price Charts Signal Strong Rebound

Analyzing the BTC price charts reveals uptrending technical indicators despite recent turmoil. Bitcoin tested vital support zones around $76,493 and $73,576 after encountering strong resistance at $88,575. Holding these levels is essential for sustaining positive BTC market trends. This is particularly true if institutional investors begin to reposition following recent volatility.

Chart 1 – Provided by crispus9, published on TradingView, April 12, 2025.

The approval of the Bitcoin ETF earlier this year initially propelled Bitcoin to new highs. This is driven by heavy inflows from both retail and institutional participants. However, after the initial surge faded and macroeconomic challenges intensified, BTC ETFs witnessed pronounced outflows. Experts believe that the current consolidation phase is crucial, potentially laying a solid foundation for the next significant move if buying interest returns.

Eyes are now firmly fixed on the Federal Reserve’s next steps. With Polymarket placing recession odds at 65%, traders expect aggressive monetary policy easing ahead. A dovish Fed could provide a boost to the BTC price. It will also help prevent recent losses in BTC market trends and possibly reignite inflows into Bitcoin ETFs.

Bitcoin’s Future Amid Rising Economic Tensions

The Bitcoin price must hold critical support levels to avoid more downturn. Breaking above $88,575 would signal renewed bullish momentum. This level is important for attracting fresh inflows into BTC ETFs and restoring investor confidence in BTC market trends. Conversely, rising global tensions could prolong volatility across risk assets.

Crypto strategists state that a US recession could benefit Bitcoin. Historically, flexible financial conditions and a weakening dollar have fueled crypto rallies. If similar dynamics emerge, demand for Bitcoin ETF could surge again. This surge will help to sustain the next BTC price rally while strengthening overall BTC market trends.

Final Verdicts: Will Bitcoin Defy Bearish Market Trends?

The Bitcoin price is navigating a volatile environment shaped by macro uncertainty, ETF outflows, and geopolitical risks. While BTC ETFs are seeing unprecedented asset losses, Bitcoin’s technical indicators are at key levels. They are offering optimism for a strong second half of the year. If broader conditions shift in Bitcoin’s favor and BTC market trends stabilize, the cryptocurrency could be primed for another major breakout.