Ripple’s Long-Term Holders Are Buying the Dip — Will XRP Price Crash Below $2 or Rebound Stronger Than Ever?

In November and December 2024, XRP saw a significant jump in value. This, in turn, created a trend of profit taking, especially in the first months of 2025. Now, however, recent XRP news shows that long-term token holders are accumulating again. With the correct downtrend in the crypto and XRP market, this feels like a positive development; however, data show otherwise. Based on the historical market data, when the accumulation of XRP tokens increases, we can expect a consolidation or pullback. 

XRP Holders Are HODLing Again! Is That Really Bullish?”

Based on the Glassnode data, the number of XRP tokens which have been inactive for more than 1 year is increasing. These statistics had been declining since the massive rise XRP experienced in the first months of 2025. As such, we can deduce that investors with XRP tokens which have been inactive for 1+ years are accumulating again. According to the historical data, in the past, when this stat grew after a downtrend, the market stagnated or fell deeper. As such, the increase in investor confidence is not always a piece of good news for short-term market movements. 

History Repeats? What XRP’s 2018 Surge Can Teach Us

Another example of such a contrast is the surge of XRP in 2018, when the coin hit its all-time high. Data shows that during this rally, long-term holders were actively selling their XRP tokens as the value was rising. As such, when we see an accumulation trend starting from February of 2025, it signals a bearish future market. As such, from February till now, when this trend has been growing, the XRP price decreased 30%. However, this suggests that long-term investors are buying the dip, making the long-term XRP price prediction bullish.

Chart 1 – provided by Glassnode, published in Glassnode, April 3 2025

As you can see in Chart 1, a similar increase in accumulation is seen in the 2018 to 2021 downtrend. The ALT of XRP was reached in the rally, which started in 2017 and continued till 2018. At the same time, the accumulation amount decreased sharply, almost reaching half of the starting amount. Exactly as the rally stops, we can also see a sudden increase in the number of doement XRP tokens. As can be seen, this accumulation trend continued until the 2021 rally, which also decreased the number of long-time holders.

XRP Under Pressure: Technical Patterns Hint at a Drop

Each time the trend of long-term accumulation gains strength, the XRP price decreases or consolidates. As such, these phases seem to be beneficial for the long-term health of the currency, however, they signal short-term slumps. As such, we can see how this data gives us a bearish but short-term XRP price prediction. Additionally there also other technical indicators that project a bearish price for XRP token.  

The weekly price movement of XRP has also been bearish, as a descending triangle is forming. This pattern is linked to a price breakdown and has historically been accurate after a bull run. Additionally, the XRP price has been experiencing a bearish couple of days as external selling pressure pushed it down. Today, XRP has been testing its essential psychological support of $2. 

Bearish Pressure Mounts: XRP’s Next Stop Could Be $1.2

If bears successfully break the $2 support range, the future XRP price prediction would be close to the $1.2 zone. This level represents the historical resistance, which was breached in 2021, and now works as a support. The Relative Strength Index indicator has also been showing lower results, which signals that sellers are gaining more control. As in the short-term, we can only find bearish XRP news, with more bullish movement coming in the long-term.