XRP SEC Case Update: Fred Rispoli’s 90% Settlement Prediction by April 16 — Will XRP Price Explode or Collapse?

The prolonged XRP SEC case approaches a critical stage, with new insights provided by lawyer Fred Rispoli. In a post on X, the legal expert highlighted April 16, 2025, as a key date potentially determining the lawsuit’s direction. Rispoli notes that this is the deadline for Ripple to file its appellate brief or, alternatively, announce a settlement or appeal withdrawal.

This phase could have significant consequences. The attorney’s assessment estimates a 90% chance that Ripple settles or withdraws versus just a 10% likelihood that it files the appellate brief. This XRP lawsuit update fueled new speculation across the XRP community, particularly since no extensions are possible. This strict deadline has increased worries, making April 16 potentially transformative in the lengthy legal dispute.

A Legal Crossroads: Ripple’s Narrow Options

Fred Rispoli emphasized April 16’s significance, describing it as a crucial decision point for Ripple. The attorney stated that Ripple faces only two choices: presenting its appellate brief or declaring a settlement or appeal withdrawal. The crypto community is carefully watching developments because the deadline is fixed, and extension requests are not possible. Rispoli’s 90-10 probability split in favor of a settlement or withdrawal points to his belief that private negotiations are far more advanced than the public realizes.

On SEC v. Ripple, expect to see something happen on or before next Wednesday, 4/16, the due date for @ripple's appellate brief. Ripple cannot get an extension and either has to file it (10%) or there will be a notice of settlement/withdrawal (90%). https://t.co/j9z0CpTBQo

— Fred Rispoli (@freddyriz) April 9, 2025

These forecasts carry considerable weight because Rispoli has carefully tracked the XRP SEC case, providing detailed analysis that aligns with the company’s strategy. His legal insights closely match the firm’s past actions and recent public behavior. If a settlement agreement is reached, it will signal a significant change in tone between the involved parties. This seems plausible because both sides recently withdrew their appeals, strongly hinting at an upcoming resolution.

The Ripple Effect: Private Assurances or Public Pressure?

Rispoli’s mention of supposed “non-public, written assurances” exchanged between Ripple personnel and SEC staff adds further complexity to his predictions. This comment created both optimism and doubt among legal professionals regarding a potential early resolution to the XRP SEC case. However, lawyer James Farrell noted that settlements require a formal Commission vote; staff lack the authority to commit the regulatory body to a settlement on their own. The SEC’s established procedures demand formal approval, making Rispoli’s claims subject to different interpretations.

Although the Commission has not publicly confirmed anything, Rispoli argues that Ripple’s leadership likely hinted at a resolution due to solid private agreements. His claim matches recent trends in other SEC crypto settlements, such as the Coinbase case, which went public only after the Commission’s approval. Rispoli’s analysis points to this recognizable procedural pattern, highlighting why April 16 might bring a definitive announcement from Ripple.

A Leadership Shift and Ripple’s Strategic Outlook

Paul Atkins’ expected swearing-in as the next SEC Chair introduces another factor in this case’s developing situation. Rispoli suggested that Atkins’ confirmation could happen on the crucial April 16 deadline, potentially influencing future regulatory approaches. While Atkins still needs President Trump’s formal sign-off, numerous observers think his leadership might benefit the broader cryptocurrency sector.

Rispoli’s legal forecast argues that Ripple is strategically positioning itself within an evolving regulatory environment. With new SEC leadership and the internal push for a resolution to the Ripple SEC case, the company might view April 16 as an opportunity. Consequently, Rispoli’s forecast is more than just a document filing; it portrays a company managing complex legal issues and navigating regulatory shifts with careful planning.

The Countdown Continues

The XRP community remains anxious as the April 16 deadline draws closer. Fred Rispoli’s XRP lawsuit update offers investors and legal analysts valuable insights into the strategic moves in Ripple’s recent operations. The deadline is a pivotal moment for cryptocurrency regulation, regardless of whether it concludes with a filed brief or a breakthrough.

Whatever happens, Rispoli’s analysis clarified the decision-making framework guiding the Ripple SEC case. His explanation of possible outcomes and procedural obstacles clearly shows the high stakes for all parties involved. This way, Rispoli provides a way to understand how Ripple might navigate one of the crypto sphere’s most closely watched legal battles.